1. No.
The Chinese may be willing to produce commercial quantities of aircraft, soonish, if they find it necessary or advantegous.
In the past, US policies and generous sales terms made it expensive commercially, and undesirable politically.
The US may have changed the policies, and this may make the chinese decide to produce commercial aircraft in a serious manner.
Should the chinese decide to really focus on aircraft manufacture, they will certainly be able to do so within a very few years.
They already have the knowledge the build airframes, and powerplant technology is not actually all that hard if you have a few hundred million $ to invest and can hire the best trainers from all over the world at 1m$ salaries.
2. Yes.
Russia and china have not produced any meaningful amounts of commercial-grade export aircraft -- ever.
But russia has produced plenty of military aircraft of high quality -- perhaps at a high cost.
China is by far the world leader in very large big high-tech projects, often involving cutting-edge levels of technology.
High-speed trains are a good example.
- No-one else in the world is even close.
So are space probes, going to the back of the moon, in only about 2-3 years.
- No-one else in the world is even close.
So are computer motherboards.
- No-one else in the world is even close.
So is solar cell PV tech - in scale, volume, efficiency, and quality.
- No-one else in the world is even close.
So is refining rare metals.
- No-one else in the world is even close.
Example:
China built the biggest tsla factory in the world for ev cars and tech in 1 year.
(Employing 100.000 workers at some point, apprently.)
In the US it takes 5-8 years, in the EU almost the same.
My point is simple. the Chinese are at least a decade away from producing viable commercial quantities of the 919.
So, yes, I am in total agreement, its no competitor whatsoever to Boeing and Airbus at this point.
1.
And the idea that the MC21 can be produced in enough quantity to even supply Aeroflot is highly unlikely.
For all the puffed up bravado of the resident russian, the russian aerospace industry barely exists. Again, they have made 6 planes of this type so far, its been under development for well over a decade.
The reason online records of the amounts of commercial aircraft actually produced in Russia, already miniscule, taper off after 2013, is because, in 2014, Putin invaded Crimea.
2.
Previous to that, the few planes they actually could made were based on joint ventures with Ukrainian firms clustered around Kiev and antonov. After that, the Ukrainians refused to work with the Russians, and the vaunted home made engines and chips all were revealed to be the vaporware they really are. Since 2013, Russian has built something like 200 commercial airliners in total. And thats a generous estimate. Boeing and Airbus each commonly build between 600 and 800 a year.
So far, of the 6 MC21's built, only ONE actually has russian made engines.
Engines are tough enough.
?, Because as long as Putin is F'n up in Ukraine, those are totally Verboten to both you and now to China. Not sure the troops can pillage enough washing machines in Ukraine to solve that problem.
