The future of manufacturing is distributed—among other things.

April 27, 2015 1:35 pm

By Drura Parrish, CEO and Founder of MakeTime

Smarter, more opinionated and involved consumers are driving the American economy. Time is precious to them and experience is everything, which is causing brands to shuffle in response to consumer needs. Rapid advances in the manufacturing sector are making it possible to build out an on-demand distributed manufacturing platform that will allow for a more effective and iterative product development process. Paul Milgrom and John Roberts forecast that increased technology adoption will lead to cheaper, faster and more accessible manufacturing, which in turn drives the potential for increased product line diversity and turnaround. This is best seen in the proliferation of car models over the years.

toyota car models over the years

TOYOTA CAR MODELS OVER THE YEARS (graph above)

OEMs have increased the diversification of their product lines to respond to ever changing consumer demands. Concurrently, we have seen the rise of entrepreneurs and prosumers delivering products that fill unmet needs. All the while, manufacturing jobs are moving to countries that respond to change quicker and move at a faster pace. To accommodate this shift, manufacturers and machine shops must adapt.

So what do we do?

The critical step is to strip manufacturing down to its core and build it back up. CNC machining begins with a produced file, which generates a toolpath that, in turn, is posted to a machine to cut or add material. Yes, there are required tolerances and set up involved, but for the most part, the machines do all the work and even assembly, and in many cases the machines can speak to each other. Yet, the majority of the manufacturing world still believes in paper-based invoicing. This is driven by the need for minimum orders to avoid producing parts that sit on the shelf. At the center of all of this is time. You need time on machines to make the things consumers want.

Buying and selling machine time by the hour will open new horizons in manufacturing. First, it will reduce overhead for successful manufacturers and machine shops. No need to buy a new machine when you can rent the time (including an operator) on an as-needed basis. We’re not trying to compete with sales people—quite the opposite. We want to fill the machines you’re leasing and selling, so your customers can buy more. Second, monetize idle machine time in shops where there is lack of work. Wouldn’t it be great to fill machines across the country? Third is risk mitigation and new development in large OEMs through time-based machine extensions to their own capabilities. Think on demand, aggregated contract manufacturing. Be proactive in risk—don’t react and fly parts when you have verified people next door to you. Time and potential are everything. It doesn’t matter to Toyota that they can get a $.20 part produced for $.15 as much as knowing they can receive the part on time and in the quantities needed.  No part, no delivery. That is a huge problem.

cars and partsFor entrepreneurs and makers, it opens new possibilities. There is no need for minimum order quantities. If you are starting a new business, it is very dangerous to invest in a large order. What entrepreneurs need is a way to make a little, test a little, make a little more, hone a little more. Iteration is key. Imagine a successful Kickstarter project or a new life-saving medical device being manufactured and shipped in days instead of months using machines in a shop sitting idle. Crowdfunding sites like Kickstarter love empowering independent creators, and this new model will enable their production while empowering American machine shops. Its a perfect fit, they need manufacturers and manufacturers need them.

What does this mean for the future?

The future of manufacturing is in distributed manufacturing. More and more processes will be automated with further digitalization of the supply chain. We believe in a step-through process to accommodate this change, beginning with our online marketplace where you can buy or sell time on machines like a CNC mill, lathe, laser, waterjet and swiss lathe. Then stepping into API connectivity to ERP systems, and ultimately moving straight to machine-to-machine communication.

Working in hourly units allows scalability and new pathways to distribute information. Companies like Fanuc are consistently pursuing increased automation of factories with their highly intelligent, ultra-precise, reliable and interconnected robots. Organizations like the MTConnect Institute are collaborating in an effort to produce an internet-based, open source technical standard and specification to foster greater interoperability between equipment, accessories, applications, and devices in the manufacturing industry. Stephan Biller’s idea of a “Brilliant Factory” no longer seems so far-fetched—a “digital thread,” he calls it, which runs through the manufacturing process from product design to the factory floor and back. Companies on the ground like ITAMCO are leading the way, showing that innovation and technology adoption are an integral part of business. Automated, interconnected machines able to communicate to one another and relay operational information and manufacturing status to a controller’s computer, iPad or iPhone 24 hours a day, 7 days a week will be the new normal.

What would you do if you were an entrepreneur or a maker with zero overhead? What would you do if you were a manufacturer with a fully automated, interoperable and interconnected production line running 24-7 with no idle machine time? You would change the world by focusing on what you need to do versus what you think you should do.

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MakeTime is an online marketplace that connects manufacturers with each other, as well as makers and designers in order to buy and sell machine capacity on demand. Machine time buyers can post projects for machine owners to bid on, and machine owners can also list their idle capacity for buyers to reserve in bulk. Please visit www.maketime.io to learn more.

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Drura Parrish, CEO & Founder of MakeTime, will be speaking at the [MC]2 Conference in Chicago April 28-30 regarding “Paths to Enable Distributed Manufacturing.”

1 Comment

  • Cameraman says:

    Thanks for the article. I understand what you are trying to get at but honestly I think the closest we are going to get to what you ultimately envision is what you are already doing with “Maketime”. What you are imagining as the “future” is about 30 years away (if that). Also of course it entirely depends on what you are trying to do in terms of proof of concept, prototyping and short production runs. Over the years (as an entrepreneur, R&D guy both in the spheres of software and hardware) I have worked with many prototype outfits etc. and in our case it actually proved more cost effective to purchase fairly substantial multiaxis machine tools and carry out actual product development and development of initial manufacturing capability in house… Rather than having to farm the work out. Because of the large number of iterations it takes to get a sophisticated product right and also to properly design for manufacture it is cheaper to “in-source” that capability… You talk about “Hours”; if you do the math (for more complex real world products) you will find the number of hours it takes to get things really right and have ground breaking products that can be implemented in the market place IS the deciding factor… And it’s exactly the number of hours it requires to pull that off that makes distributed outsourcing totally impractical within the U.S. and it is actually cheaper and far more efficient to buy the machines and do-it-yourself . So in some sense I would argue the exact opposite of your basic thesis. BUT I would agree that it is software that has made that all possible. Because of software that a single individual can have the power and resources at their finger tips that 35 years ago would have required six different departments and a staff of 35 people + to achieve the same result. But for simple 2.5 D type work your concept may be valid.

    Cheers,

    Eric,

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